ATP tennis predict — Duje Ajdukovic vs Stefanos Sakellaridis

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · R16 15:00

Predicted probability

Duje Ajdukovic

Croatia

23.57%

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Greece

76.43%

Average Odds

3.20 / 1.32

Market probability

29.20% / 70.80%

Why This Prediction?

Stefanos Sakellaridis is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1838 vs 1629), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1799 vs 1615) and a stronger serve (67.5% vs 59.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1629.3 Elo 1838.2

1615.3 Elo (surface) 1798.6

157 Wins (Challenger) 70

106 Wins (surface) 28

7 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.976 Dominance ratio 1.108

324 Rank 136

25.6 Age 22.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Duje Ajdukovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Stefanos Sakellaridis

1st Serve In %

69.5%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

46.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.9%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

75.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

55.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

42.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Stefanos Sakellaridis

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

31.7%

37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

68.9%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Duje Ajdukovic 0 – 0 Stefanos Sakellaridis

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-09

R16

Stefanos Sakellaridis #136

Duje Ajdukovic #324

7-6 2-6 6-4

5 Aces 8

2 Double Faults 9

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

44 First Serve Won 40

20 Second Serve Won 24

3 Break Points Saved 6

4 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.2

Duje Ajdukovic vs Stefanos Sakellaridis — Prediction