ATP tennis predict — Duje Ajdukovic vs Khumoun Sultanov

Challenger Clay Liberec challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Duje Ajdukovic

Croatia

66.52%

Khumoun Sultanov

Uzbekistan

33.48%

Average Odds

1.81 / 1.93

Market probability

51.60% / 48.40%

Why This Prediction?

Duje Ajdukovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1626 vs 1512), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1575 vs 1501) and more wins on clay courts (102 vs 13).

Player Comparison

1626.4 Elo 1512.2

1574.7 Elo (surface) 1501.1

153 Wins (Challenger) 65

102 Wins (surface) 13

7 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.008 Dominance ratio 0.919

307 Rank 520

25.5 Age 27.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Duje Ajdukovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Khumoun Sultanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Khumoun Sultanov

1st Serve In %

69.5%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.9%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

72.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

54.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

54.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Khumoun Sultanov

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

31.7%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

52.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Duje Ajdukovic 1 – 0 Khumoun Sultanov

Clay Liberec challenger · 2026-07-28

1. round

Duje Ajdukovic #307

Khumoun Sultanov #520

7-6 0-0

1 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 3

46 Service Points 47

18 First Serve In 27

12 First Serve Won 21

17 Second Serve Won 6

3 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Hard Manacor CH · 2024-08-26

SF

Duje Ajdukovic #134

Khumoun Sultanov #264

6-4 6-3

7 Aces 6

1 Double Faults 4

44 Service Points 62

30 First Serve In 36

25 First Serve Won 25

11 Second Serve Won 11

0 Break Points Saved 1

0 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Duje Ajdukovic vs Khumoun Sultanov — Prediction