ATP tennis predict — Duje Ajdukovic vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Challenger Clay Como challenger · R16 17:00

Predicted probability

Duje Ajdukovic

Croatia

63.29%

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Italy

36.71%

Average Odds

1.60 / 2.22

Market probability

58.12% / 41.88%

Why This Prediction?

Duje Ajdukovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1621 vs 1550), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1576 vs 1561) and fewer double faults per game (0.20 vs 0.26).

Player Comparison

1620.6 Elo 1550.3

1576.2 Elo (surface) 1561.0

155 Wins (Challenger) 12

104 Wins (surface) 12

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.093 Dominance ratio 0.862

324 Rank 441

25.6 Age 21.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Duje Ajdukovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

1st Serve In %

69.5%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

58.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

43.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.07

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.9%

65.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

57.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

43.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

57.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

37.5%

Break Points Converted %

31.7%

75.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

53.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Duje Ajdukovic 0 – 0 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Clay Como challenger · 2026-09-03

R16

Duje Ajdukovic #324

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano #441

7-6 5-7 6-2

3 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 7

94 Service Points 100

62 First Serve In 69

37 First Serve Won 38

8 Second Serve Won 8

3 Break Points Saved 3

11 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Duje Ajdukovic vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano — Prediction