ATP tennis predict — Duje Ajdukovic vs Jay Clarke

Challenger Clay Como challenger · QF 14:00

Predicted probability

Duje Ajdukovic

Croatia

63.90%

Jay Clarke

Great Britain

36.10%

Average Odds

2.23 / 1.60

Market probability

41.78% / 58.22%

Why This Prediction?

Duje Ajdukovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1630 vs 1572), more wins on clay courts (105 vs 56) and a stronger serve (60.2% vs 59.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1630.4 Elo 1572.3

1590.0 Elo (surface) 1614.9

156 Wins (Challenger) 158

105 Wins (surface) 56

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.000 Dominance ratio 0.891

324 Rank 242

25.6 Age 28.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Duje Ajdukovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Jay Clarke

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Jay Clarke

1st Serve In %

69.5%

57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

32.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.9%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

62.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Jay Clarke

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

63.7%

Break Points Converted %

31.7%

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

60.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

44.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Duje Ajdukovic 0 – 0 Jay Clarke

Clay Como challenger · 2026-09-04

QF

Jay Clarke #242

Duje Ajdukovic #324

2-6 6-3 6-2

10 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 0

81 Service Points 86

40 First Serve In 61

27 First Serve Won 38

17 Second Serve Won 12

8 Break Points Saved 4

13 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Duje Ajdukovic vs Jay Clarke — Prediction