ATP tennis predict — Duje Ajdukovic vs Imanol Lopez Morillo

Challenger Clay Bari challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Duje Ajdukovic

Croatia

77.37%

Imanol Lopez Morillo

Spain

22.63%

Average Odds

1.29 / 3.23

Market probability

71.46% / 28.54%

Why This Prediction?

Duje Ajdukovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1624 vs 1397), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1608 vs 1412) and more wins on clay courts (106 vs 16).

Player Comparison

1623.7 Elo 1396.5

1607.8 Elo (surface) 1412.5

157 Wins (Challenger) 16

106 Wins (surface) 16

7 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.976 Dominance ratio 1.034

345 Rank 667

25.6 Age 26.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Duje Ajdukovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Imanol Lopez Morillo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Imanol Lopez Morillo

1st Serve In %

69.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.48

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.9%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

67.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

36.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Imanol Lopez Morillo

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

31.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Duje Ajdukovic and Imanol Lopez Morillo have never played each other.

Duje Ajdukovic vs Imanol Lopez Morillo — Prediction