ATP tennis predict — Duje Ajdukovic vs Goncalo Marques

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Duje Ajdukovic

Croatia

71.94%

Goncalo Marques

Portugal

28.06%

Average Odds

1.28 / 3.38

Market probability

72.53% / 27.47%

Why This Prediction?

Duje Ajdukovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1588 vs 1432), more career match wins (158 vs 3) and more wins on clay courts (107 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1607.8 Elo 1555.5

1588.2 Elo (surface) 1432.5

158 Wins (Challenger) 3

107 Wins (surface) 0

7 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.976 Dominance ratio 0.767

353 Rank 594

25.7 Age 20.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Duje Ajdukovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Goncalo Marques

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Goncalo Marques

1st Serve In %

69.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.48

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

53.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%

60.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Goncalo Marques

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

31.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.9%

47.4%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%

40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Duje Ajdukovic and Goncalo Marques have never played each other.

Duje Ajdukovic vs Goncalo Marques — Prediction