ATP tennis predict — Duje Ajdukovic vs Filippo Romano

Challenger Clay Genoa challenger · 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Duje Ajdukovic

Croatia

56.71%

Filippo Romano

Italy

43.29%

Average Odds

1.81 / 1.92

Market probability

51.47% / 48.53%

Why This Prediction?

Duje Ajdukovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1577 vs 1445), a higher Elo rating (1616 vs 1547) and more wins on clay courts (105 vs 17).

Player Comparison

1616.2 Elo 1547.1

1576.6 Elo (surface) 1444.6

156 Wins (Challenger) 36

105 Wins (surface) 17

7 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.961 Dominance ratio 1.028

324 Rank 319

25.6 Age 21.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Duje Ajdukovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Filippo Romano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Filippo Romano

1st Serve In %

69.5%

76.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

87.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

70.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

30.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

77.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.9%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.2%

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Filippo Romano

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

31.7%

80.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.0%

59.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

36.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Duje Ajdukovic 0 – 0 Filippo Romano

Clay Genoa challenger · 2026-09-07

1. round

Duje Ajdukovic #324

Filippo Romano #319

6-2 7-5

3 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 0

69 Service Points 50

43 First Serve In 30

32 First Serve Won 20

12 Second Serve Won 9

4 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Duje Ajdukovic vs Filippo Romano — Prediction