ATP tennis predict — Duje Ajdukovic vs Filip Cristian Jianu

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Duje Ajdukovic

Croatia

56.69%

Filip Cristian Jianu

Romania

43.31%

Average Odds

1.73 / 1.96

Market probability

53.12% / 46.88%

Why This Prediction?

Duje Ajdukovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1586 vs 1559), a higher Elo rating (1605 vs 1559) and a stronger return game (39.9% vs 35.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1604.7 Elo 1558.6

1586.1 Elo (surface) 1559.1

157 Wins (Challenger) 120

106 Wins (surface) 99

7 Last 15 form 4

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.976 Dominance ratio 0.990

348 Rank 285

25.7 Age 25.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Duje Ajdukovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Filip Cristian Jianu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Filip Cristian Jianu

1st Serve In %

69.5%

75.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

62.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

32.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.1%

63.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

54.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.9%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%

43.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Filip Cristian Jianu

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

70.3%

Break Points Converted %

31.7%

58.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.5%

58.8%

Break Points Converted %

46.5%

41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Duje Ajdukovic 1 – 0 Filip Cristian Jianu

Hard Manama CH · 2025-02-10

R16

Duje Ajdukovic #162

Filip Cristian Jianu #229

6-1 2-6 7-5

7 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 1

70 Service Points 86

37 First Serve In 45

32 First Serve Won 30

16 Second Serve Won 20

1 Break Points Saved 8

4 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Duje Ajdukovic vs Filip Cristian Jianu — Prediction