ATP tennis predict — Duje Ajdukovic vs Andrej Martin

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:00

Predicted probability

Duje Ajdukovic

Croatia

55.49%

Andrej Martin

Slovakia

44.51%

Average Odds

1.45 / 2.56

Market probability

63.84% / 36.16%

Why This Prediction?

Duje Ajdukovic is the favorite because he has more aces per game (0.22 vs 0.08), fewer double faults per game (0.07 vs 0.19) and a better head-to-head record against Andrej Martin (1-0).

Player Comparison

1607.8 Elo 1611.4

1588.2 Elo (surface) 1604.5

158 Wins (Challenger) 337

107 Wins (surface) 290

7 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.976 Dominance ratio 1.329

353 Rank 387

25.7 Age 37.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Duje Ajdukovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Andrej Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Andrej Martin

1st Serve In %

69.5%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.0%

45.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.0%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

53.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

33.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

58.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Duje Ajdukovic Andrej Martin

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

52.9%

Break Points Converted %

31.7%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.9%

55.9%

Break Points Converted %

46.9%

47.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Duje Ajdukovic 1 – 0 Andrej Martin

Clay Napoli CH · 2021-10-04

R16

Duje Ajdukovic #261

Andrej Martin #120

4-6 6-3 6-3

7 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 1

89 Service Points 93

54 First Serve In 78

38 First Serve Won 48

19 Second Serve Won 7

2 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Duje Ajdukovic vs Andrej Martin — Prediction