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Dong Ju Kim vs Kristjan Tamm — Prediction

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:05

Predicted probability

Dong Ju Kim

South Korea

25.26%

Kristjan Tamm

Estonia

74.74%

Average Odds

1.90  /  1.80

Market probability

48.65%  /  51.35%

Why This Prediction?

Kristjan Tamm is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1281 vs 1253), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1371 vs 1254) and better recent form (3 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1252.8 Elo 1280.8
1254.2 Elo (surface) 1371.1
0 Wins (Challenger) 3
0 Wins (surface) 2
0 Last 15 form 3
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.725 Dominance ratio 0.993
689 Rank 1162
24.4 Age 28.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dong Ju Kim

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-07.

Kristjan Tamm

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dong Ju Kim Kristjan Tamm

1st Serve In %

58.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.68

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.4%
55.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.7%
74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.0%
46.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%
31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.6%
48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.21
0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dong Ju Kim Kristjan Tamm

Break Points Saved %

82.1%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

35.3%
63.6%

Break Points Converted %

42.2%
31.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dong Ju Kim 00 Kristjan Tamm

Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - 1. round

Dong Ju Kim #689

Kristjan Tamm #1162

3-6 6-3 7-6
4 Aces 14
2 Double Faults 6
97 Service Points 98
68 First Serve In 44
43 First Serve Won 34
18 Second Serve Won 25
3 Break Points Saved 4
6 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Dong Ju Kim — Last 10

L W W L L L L L L L

Kristjan Tamm — Last 10

L L L W L L L L W L