ATP tennis predict — Dominik Recek vs Marko Topo

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Dominik Recek

Czech Republic

20.31%

Marko Topo

Germany

79.69%

Average Odds

3.99 / 1.22

Market probability

23.42% / 76.58%

Why This Prediction?

Marko Topo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1573 vs 1451), a higher Elo rating (1569 vs 1466) and more wins on clay courts (56 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1465.8 Elo 1569.2

1450.6 Elo (surface) 1573.3

3 Wins (Challenger) 72

3 Wins (surface) 56

3 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.974 Dominance ratio 0.932

853 Rank 348

31.4 Age 22.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dominik Recek

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Marko Topo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominik Recek Marko Topo

1st Serve In %

—

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.7%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominik Recek Marko Topo

Break Points Saved %

—

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.7%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dominik Recek 0 – 0 Marko Topo

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - round of 16

Dominik Recek #847

Marko Topo #346

6-4 6-4

4 Aces 11

1 Double Faults 6

56 Service Points 70

40 First Serve In 35

30 First Serve Won 28

12 Second Serve Won 17

2 Break Points Saved 6

2 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

4.0 Average Odds 1.2

Dominik Recek vs Marko Topo — Prediction