ATP tennis predict — Dominik Recek vs Diego Dedura Palomero

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Dominik Recek

Czech Republic

11.50%

Diego Dedura Palomero

Germany

88.50%

Average Odds

6.84 / 1.09

Market probability

13.75% / 86.25%

Why This Prediction?

Diego Dedura Palomero is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1749 vs 1524), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1767 vs 1511) and more wins on clay courts (38 vs 4).

Player Comparison

1523.6 Elo 1749.2

1510.6 Elo (surface) 1767.4

4 Wins (Challenger) 42

4 Wins (surface) 38

4 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.005 Dominance ratio 0.978

847 Rank 193

31.5 Age 18.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dominik Recek

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Diego Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominik Recek Diego Dedura Palomero

1st Serve In %

—

66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

57.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.7%

67.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.8%

64.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

37.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.8%

49.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.05

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominik Recek Diego Dedura Palomero

Break Points Saved %

—

65.5%

Break Points Converted %

—

28.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.7%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dominik Recek 0 – 0 Diego Dedura Palomero

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Diego Dedura Palomero #193

Dominik Recek #847

7-5 6-2

2 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 0

59 Service Points 57

37 First Serve In 42

25 First Serve Won 27

9 Second Serve Won 10

5 Break Points Saved 2

10 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 6.8

Dominik Recek vs Diego Dedura Palomero — Prediction