ATP tennis predict — Dominik Palan vs Max Basing

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Dominik Palan

Czech Republic

33.23%

Max Basing

Great Britain

66.77%

Average Odds

3.66 / 1.26

Market probability

25.61% / 74.39%

Why This Prediction?

Max Basing is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1675 vs 1470), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1666 vs 1515) and fewer double faults per game (0.12 vs 0.23).

Player Comparison

1470.4 Elo 1674.6

1514.8 Elo (surface) 1665.9

40 Wins (Challenger) 17

40 Wins (surface) 14

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.060 Dominance ratio 0.940

465 Rank 257

25.8 Age 23.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dominik Palan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Max Basing

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominik Palan Max Basing

1st Serve In %

65.7%

64.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.7%

64.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.9%

43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.4%

54.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.75

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%

65.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.5%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%

55.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.2%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominik Palan Max Basing

Break Points Saved %

67.5%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dominik Palan 0 – 0 Max Basing

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Dominik Palan #465

Max Basing #257

3-6 6-3 6-4

6 Aces 2

8 Double Faults 4

86 Service Points 81

47 First Serve In 53

38 First Serve Won 39

22 Second Serve Won 18

3 Break Points Saved 4

4 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.7 Average Odds 1.3

Dominik Palan vs Max Basing — Prediction