ATP tennis predict — Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan Valiente

Challenger Hard Pozoblanco challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Dominik Palan

Czech Republic

37.53%

Izan Almazan Valiente

Spain

62.47%

Average Odds

3.04 / 1.34

Market probability

30.59% / 69.41%

Why This Prediction?

Izan Almazan Valiente is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1656 vs 1485), a higher Elo rating (1607 vs 1438) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1438.2 Elo 1606.7

1484.7 Elo (surface) 1656.4

38 Wins (Challenger) 8

38 Wins (surface) 6

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.056 Dominance ratio 0.876

498 Rank 585

25.8 Age 20.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dominik Palan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Izan Almazan Valiente

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominik Palan Izan Almazan Valiente

1st Serve In %

65.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

77.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.75

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%

58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.5%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.2%

46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.55

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominik Palan Izan Almazan Valiente

Break Points Saved %

67.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

48.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dominik Palan 0 – 0 Izan Almazan Valiente

Hard Pozoblanco challenger · 2026-07-16

R16

Izan Almazan Valiente #585

Dominik Palan #498

7-5 6-3

5 Aces 5

5 Double Faults 4

67 Service Points 98

37 First Serve In 61

24 First Serve Won 42

13 Second Serve Won 15

4 Break Points Saved 8

8 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.0

Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan Valiente — Prediction