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Dominik Palan vs Bernardo Munk Mesa — Prediction

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Dominik Palan

Czech Republic

69.85%

Average Odds

1.62  /  2.15

Market probability

57.03%  /  42.97%

Why This Prediction?

Dominik Palan is the favorite because he has more career match wins (38 vs 1), better recent form (7 wins in his last 15 matches vs 1) and more wins on hard courts (38 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1427.6 Elo 1520.5
1474.1 Elo (surface) 1524.8
38 Wins (Challenger) 1
38 Wins (surface) 1
7 Last 15 form 1
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.011 Dominance ratio 1.026
498 Rank 1232
25.8 Age 20.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dominik Palan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Bernardo Munk Mesa

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominik Palan Bernardo Munk Mesa

1st Serve In %

65.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

38.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.75

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.8%
55.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.5%
72.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%
52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.1%
28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.2%
44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.55
0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47
0.62

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominik Palan Bernardo Munk Mesa

Break Points Saved %

67.5%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.2%
81.2%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dominik Palan and Bernardo Munk Mesa have never played each other.

Dominik Palan — Last 10

L L L W L L W W W L

Bernardo Munk Mesa — Last 2

L W