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Dominik Kellovsky vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro — Prediction

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Dominik Kellovsky

Czech Republic

69.15%

Average Odds

1.55  /  2.30

Market probability

59.74%  /  40.26%

Why This Prediction?

Dominik Kellovsky is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1393 vs 1281), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1464 vs 1296) and a stronger serve (63.3% vs 54.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1393.4 Elo 1281.1
1463.8 Elo (surface) 1295.9
24 Wins (Challenger) 5
17 Wins (surface) 5
9 Last 15 form 4
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.079 Dominance ratio 0.792
904 Rank 838
30.0 Age 23.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dominik Kellovsky

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominik Kellovsky Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

54.7%
59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.4%
65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.7%
38.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%
28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%
48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.43
0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.46
0.55

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominik Kellovsky Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

64.7%
49.4%

Break Points Converted %

40.8%
39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dominik Kellovsky 00 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Dominik Kellovsky #904

Joao Victor Couto Loureiro #838

1-6 6-4 6-2
1 Aces 1
9 Double Faults 1
73 Service Points 73
45 First Serve In 47
29 First Serve Won 26
14 Second Serve Won 15
3 Break Points Saved 2
7 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Dominik Kellovsky — Last 10

L W L L W L W L W W

Joao Victor Couto Loureiro — Last 10

L L W L W L W L L L