ATP tennis predict — Dominic Stricker vs Tommaso Compagnucci

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · SF 17:10

Predicted probability

Dominic Stricker

Switzerland

67.35%

Tommaso Compagnucci

Italy

32.65%

Average Odds

1.25 / 3.70

Market probability

74.75% / 25.25%

Why This Prediction?

Dominic Stricker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1746 vs 1632), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1707 vs 1660) and more wins on clay courts (9 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1746.5 Elo 1632.1

1707.4 Elo (surface) 1659.9

86 Wins (Challenger) 29

31 Wins (surface) 28

11 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.995 Dominance ratio 0.996

336 Rank 364

24.0 Age 26.8

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dominic Stricker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Tommaso Compagnucci

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominic Stricker Tommaso Compagnucci

1st Serve In %

58.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.62

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.1%

63.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

68.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.3%

44.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.4%

39.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominic Stricker Tommaso Compagnucci

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dominic Stricker 0 – 0 Tommaso Compagnucci

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-21

SF

Dominic Stricker #336

Tommaso Compagnucci #364

6-2 6-2

3 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 2

54 Service Points 61

31 First Serve In 45

26 First Serve Won 25

12 Second Serve Won 4

5 Break Points Saved 5

5 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.7

Dominic Stricker vs Tommaso Compagnucci — Prediction