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Dominic Stricker vs Philip Henning — Prediction

Challenger Hard Roanne challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Dominic Stricker

Switzerland

61.97%

Philip Henning

RSA

38.03%

Average Odds

1.55  /  2.32

Market probability

59.95%  /  40.05%

Why This Prediction?

Dominic Stricker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1750 vs 1659), a stronger serve (63.3% vs 58.6% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (24 vs 7).

Player Comparison

1749.9 Elo 1658.8
1667.5 Elo (surface) 1685.2
91 Wins (Challenger) 30
54 Wins (surface) 27
11 Last 15 form 6
1 Head-to-head wins 0
1.089 Dominance ratio 0.970
263 Rank 267
24.2 Age 25.9
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dominic Stricker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Philip Henning

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–7L · 12.5%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominic Stricker Philip Henning

1st Serve In %

58.4%
67.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%
65.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%
52.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%
31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%
53.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.62
0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17
0.12

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.5%
57.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

79.6%
71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.6%
53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%
32.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

62.7%
56.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.48
0.79

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominic Stricker Philip Henning

Break Points Saved %

50.0%
57.1%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%
38.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%
65.4%

Break Points Converted %

51.7%
35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dominic Stricker 1 – 0 Philip Henning

Clay Troyes challenger · 2026-06-29
6-2 6-4
7 Aces 3
2 Double Faults 3
63 Service Points 48
38 First Serve In 29
26 First Serve Won 21
15 Second Serve Won 7
11 Break Points Saved 3
12 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Dominic Stricker — Last 10

L W W L W L W W W W

Philip Henning — Last 10

L W W W L L L L W W