ATP tennis predict — Dominic Stricker vs Marko Topo

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:00

Predicted probability

Dominic Stricker

Switzerland

64.77%

Marko Topo

Germany

35.23%

Average Odds

1.50 / 2.44

Market probability

61.93% / 38.07%

Why This Prediction?

Dominic Stricker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1753 vs 1605), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1669 vs 1651) and more wins on hard courts (24 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1753.2 Elo 1605.2

1668.6 Elo (surface) 1650.8

90 Wins (Challenger) 76

53 Wins (surface) 18

11 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 2

1.089 Dominance ratio 1.126

264 Rank 327

24.1 Age 23.1

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dominic Stricker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–6L · 53.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Marko Topo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominic Stricker Marko Topo

1st Serve In %

58.4%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%

45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.2%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.3%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

53.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

32.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.9%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominic Stricker Marko Topo

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

59.4%

Break Points Converted %

48.2%

48.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dominic Stricker 0 – 2 Marko Topo

Clay Tulln CH · 2025-09-01

R32

Marko Topo #285

Dominic Stricker #226

6-4 6-4

1 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 3

53 Service Points 61

31 First Serve In 37

27 First Serve Won 24

15 Second Serve Won 14

0 Break Points Saved 2

0 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Heilbronn CH · 2025-06-02

R16

Marko Topo #333

Dominic Stricker #235

6-7(5) 7-6(4) 0-0 RET

9 Aces 6

5 Double Faults 2

92 Service Points 88

52 First Serve In 42

43 First Serve Won 27

18 Second Serve Won 30

6 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 5