ATP tennis predict — Dominic Stricker vs Lucio Ratti

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · R16 11:30

Predicted probability

Dominic Stricker

Switzerland

68.51%

Lucio Ratti

Argentina

31.49%

Average Odds

1.24 / 3.75

Market probability

75.15% / 24.85%

Why This Prediction?

Dominic Stricker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1730 vs 1546), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1677 vs 1562) and a lighter recent match load (21 vs 30 games played recently).

Player Comparison

1729.6 Elo 1546.4

1677.2 Elo (surface) 1562.3

84 Wins (Challenger) 20

29 Wins (surface) 17

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.941 Dominance ratio 1.057

336 Rank 389

24.0 Age 22.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dominic Stricker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Lucio Ratti

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominic Stricker Lucio Ratti

1st Serve In %

58.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.62

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.1%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.3%

41.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.4%

52.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominic Stricker Lucio Ratti

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

62.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

51.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dominic Stricker 0 – 0 Lucio Ratti

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-19

R16

Dominic Stricker #336

Lucio Ratti #389

6-4 6-4

4 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 1

56 Service Points 60

32 First Serve In 39

26 First Serve Won 24

13 Second Serve Won 6

1 Break Points Saved 2

3 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.8

Dominic Stricker vs Lucio Ratti — Prediction