ATP tennis predict — Dominic Stricker vs Francesco Passaro

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Dominic Stricker

Switzerland

60.11%

Francesco Passaro

Italy

39.89%

Average Odds

1.68 / 2.10

Market probability

55.56% / 44.44%

Why This Prediction?

Dominic Stricker is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1716 vs 1691), the advantage of playing in his home country and a stronger return game (40.2% vs 33.9% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1716.0 Elo 1691.4

1635.3 Elo (surface) 1717.6

81 Wins (Challenger) 119

26 Wins (surface) 101

10 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.162 Dominance ratio 0.897

357 Rank 200

23.9 Age 25.5

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dominic Stricker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Francesco Passaro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominic Stricker Francesco Passaro

1st Serve In %

58.4%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.3%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.62

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.1%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.7%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.3%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.9%

25.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.4%

34.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dominic Stricker Francesco Passaro

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

57.9%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

56.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

48.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dominic Stricker 0 – 0 Francesco Passaro

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Dominic Stricker #357

Francesco Passaro #200

6-7 6-1 7-6

6 Aces 10

3 Double Faults 7

106 Service Points 116

60 First Serve In 68

45 First Serve Won 51

29 Second Serve Won 20

1 Break Points Saved 6

3 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Dominic Stricker vs Francesco Passaro — Prediction