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Dino Prizmic vs Tommy Paul — Prediction

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 2. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Dino Prizmic

Croatia

31.42%

Tommy Paul

USA

68.58%

Average Odds

4.63  /  1.20

Market probability

20.58%  /  79.42%

Why This Prediction?

Tommy Paul is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1909 vs 1733), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1783 vs 1597) and more wins on hard courts (193 vs 20).

Player Comparison

1733.1 Elo 1909.3
1597.5 Elo (surface) 1782.8
45 Wins 286
20 Wins (surface) 193
9 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.898 Dominance ratio 0.847
102 Rank 21
21.1 Age 29.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dino Prizmic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Tommy Paul

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dino Prizmic Tommy Paul

1st Serve In %

59.7%
59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%
70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.9%
51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%
26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.9%
45.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.35
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.0%
55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%
74.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.0%
53.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.2%
32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.2%
49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.28
0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dino Prizmic Tommy Paul

Break Points Saved %

49.4%
55.1%

Break Points Converted %

35.5%
33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.1%
62.8%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%
45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dino Prizmic 00 Tommy Paul

Hard US Open · 2026-09-03
6-2 6-3 5-7 6-4
2 Aces 9
7 Double Faults 4
125 Service Points 109
79 First Serve In 59
56 First Serve Won 49
16 Second Serve Won 24
9 Break Points Saved 2
16 Break Points Faced 5
26 Winners 37
32 Unforced Errors 39
1.2 Average Odds 4.6

Dino Prizmic — Last 10

W W L W L L L W L W

Tommy Paul — Last 10

L W W W L W W W L W