ATP tennis predict — Dino Prizmic vs Daniel Rincon

Challenger Hard St. Tropez challenger · 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Dino Prizmic

Croatia

76.75%

Daniel Rincon

Spain

23.25%

Average Odds

1.23 / 3.88

Market probability

75.93% / 24.07%

Why This Prediction?

Dino Prizmic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1937 vs 1734), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1780 vs 1709) and a stronger serve (68.1% vs 62.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1936.5 Elo 1734.4

1780.3 Elo (surface) 1708.5

79 Wins (Challenger) 108

34 Wins (surface) 32

12 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.355 Dominance ratio 1.016

101 Rank 260

21.1 Age 23.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dino Prizmic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Daniel Rincon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dino Prizmic Daniel Rincon

1st Serve In %

59.7%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.9%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.9%

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.0%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.0%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.2%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.2%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dino Prizmic Daniel Rincon

Break Points Saved %

49.4%

63.5%

Break Points Converted %

35.5%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.1%

69.4%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dino Prizmic 0 – 0 Daniel Rincon

Hard St. Tropez challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Dino Prizmic #101

Daniel Rincon #260

6-4 6-3

6 Aces 7

6 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

33 First Serve Won 21

14 Second Serve Won 12

1 Break Points Saved 4

1 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.9

Dino Prizmic vs Daniel Rincon — Prediction