ATP tennis predict — Dino Prizmic vs Alex Molcan

ATP Clay Umag · R16

Predicted probability

Dino Prizmic

Croatia

59.82%

Alex Molcan

Slovakia

40.18%

Average Odds

1.36 / 3.10

Market probability

69.51% / 30.49%

Why This Prediction?

Dino Prizmic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1767 vs 1764), the advantage of playing in his home country and a better head-to-head record against Alex Molcan (1-0).

Player Comparison

1766.7 Elo 1763.6

1795.1 Elo (surface) 1806.8

44 Wins 86

23 Wins (surface) 47

11 Last 15 form 12

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.968 Dominance ratio 1.272

84 Rank 101

20.9 Age 28.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dino Prizmic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Alex Molcan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dino Prizmic Alex Molcan

1st Serve In %

59.7%

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.9%

52.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.9%

52.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.0%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.0%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.2%

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.2%

58.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dino Prizmic Alex Molcan

Break Points Saved %

49.4%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.5%

38.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.1%

64.5%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

52.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dino Prizmic 1 – 0 Alex Molcan

Clay Umag · 2026-07-15

R16

Alex Molcan #101

Dino Prizmic #84

3-6 7-6 4-0

7 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 2

79 Service Points 79

41 First Serve In 55

25 First Serve Won 36

23 Second Serve Won 13

1 Break Points Saved 9

5 Break Points Faced 12

34 Winners 14

50 Unforced Errors 26

3.1 Average Odds 1.4

Clay Banja Luka CH · 2023-08-07

R16

Dino Prizmic #241

Alex Molcan #113

6-1 6-4

1 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 4

55 Service Points 73

26 First Serve In 49

19 First Serve Won 27

18 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 11

2 Break Points Faced 15

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Dino Prizmic vs Alex Molcan — Prediction