ATP tennis predict — Dinko Dinev vs Valentin Basel

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Dinko Dinev

Bulgaria

82.92%

Valentin Basel

Argentina

17.08%

Average Odds

1.52 / 2.39

Market probability

61.13% / 38.87%

Why This Prediction?

Dinko Dinev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1424 vs 1305), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1416 vs 1323) and a stronger serve (54.5% vs 52.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1423.6 Elo 1305.2

1415.8 Elo (surface) 1323.1

8 Wins (Challenger) 4

4 Wins (surface) 4

6 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.822 Dominance ratio 0.757

800 Rank 1109

22.5 Age 22.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dinko Dinev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Valentin Basel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dinko Dinev Valentin Basel

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.7%

62.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.8%

52.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dinko Dinev Valentin Basel

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

50.6%

Break Points Converted %

54.7%

36.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dinko Dinev 0 – 0 Valentin Basel

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Valentin Basel #1109

Dinko Dinev #800

6-4 6-4

1 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 1

70 Service Points 69

33 First Serve In 37

25 First Serve Won 24

14 Second Serve Won 19

5 Break Points Saved 5

9 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Dinko Dinev vs Valentin Basel — Prediction