ATP tennis predict — Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Lorenzo Berto

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:00

Predicted probability

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Greece

70.70%

Lorenzo Berto

Italy

29.30%

Average Odds

1.40 / 2.79

Market probability

66.59% / 33.41%

Why This Prediction?

Dimitris Sakellaridis is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1539 vs 1455), more career match wins (8 vs 1) and a higher Elo rating (1501 vs 1448).

Player Comparison

1501.3 Elo 1448.3

1539.2 Elo (surface) 1454.9

8 Wins (Challenger) 1

5 Wins (surface) 1

8 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.078 Dominance ratio 1.190

559 Rank 1186

20.4 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Lorenzo Berto

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitris Sakellaridis Lorenzo Berto

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.4%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

61.8%

57.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitris Sakellaridis Lorenzo Berto

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

46.8%

46.9%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dimitris Sakellaridis 0 – 0 Lorenzo Berto

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-21

qualification - round of 16

Lorenzo Berto #1186

Dimitris Sakellaridis #559

1-6 7-5 6-4

1 Aces 9

8 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

46 First Serve Won 38

19 Second Serve Won 14

8 Break Points Saved 6

12 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.8 Average Odds 1.4

Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Lorenzo Berto — Prediction