ATP tennis predict — Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Aziz Dougaz

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Greece

48.89%

Aziz Dougaz

Tunisia

51.11%

Average Odds

3.80 / 1.23

Market probability

24.45% / 75.55%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1518.7 Elo 1552

1488.8 Elo (surface) 1543.8

5 Wins (Challenger) 79

3 Wins (surface) 57

5 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.948 Dominance ratio 0.933

567 Rank 687

20.3 Age 29.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Aziz Dougaz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitris Sakellaridis Aziz Dougaz

1st Serve In %

—

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.4%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

61.8%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitris Sakellaridis Aziz Dougaz

Break Points Saved %

—

50.8%

Break Points Converted %

—

46.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

46.8%

57.6%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%

51.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dimitris Sakellaridis 0 – 0 Aziz Dougaz

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - round of 16

Aziz Dougaz #690

Dimitris Sakellaridis #556

6-4 6-4

3 Aces 10

2 Double Faults 4

68 Service Points 55

40 First Serve In 35

27 First Serve Won 28

10 Second Serve Won 9

4 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.8

Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Aziz Dougaz — Prediction