ATP tennis predict — Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Alessandro Ceppellini

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Greece

89.28%

Alessandro Ceppellini

Italy

10.72%

Average Odds

1.11 / 1.17

Market probability

51.32% / 48.68%

Why This Prediction?

Dimitris Sakellaridis is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1477 vs 1343), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1514 vs 1344) and more career match wins (7 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1477.5 Elo 1343.0

1513.8 Elo (surface) 1344.4

7 Wins (Challenger) 0

4 Wins (surface) 0

7 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.078 Dominance ratio 0.519

559 Rank -

20.4 Age 30.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dimitris Sakellaridis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Alessandro Ceppellini

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-20.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitris Sakellaridis Alessandro Ceppellini

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

48.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

53.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

44.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.4%

14.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

61.8%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitris Sakellaridis Alessandro Ceppellini

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

46.8%

41.4%

Break Points Converted %

49.4%

18.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dimitris Sakellaridis 0 – 0 Alessandro Ceppellini

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-20

qualification - 1. round

Dimitris Sakellaridis #559

Alessandro Ceppellini #-

6-3 6-2

3 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

29 First Serve Won 14

8 Second Serve Won 4

5 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 1.2

Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Alessandro Ceppellini — Prediction