ATP tennis predict — Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Bulgaria

66.50%

Ryan Peniston

Great Britain

33.50%

Average Odds

1.50 / 2.34

Market probability

60.94% / 39.06%

Why This Prediction?

Dimitar Kuzmanov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1659 vs 1554), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1621 vs 1530) and a stronger serve (65.4% vs 60.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1659.0 Elo 1553.8

1620.5 Elo (surface) 1530.3

230 Wins (Challenger) 125

73 Wins (surface) 98

9 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.268 Dominance ratio 1.055

367 Rank 541

33.2 Age 30.9

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–7L · 12.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Ryan Peniston

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-08-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitar Kuzmanov Ryan Peniston

1st Serve In %

70.4%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

65.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

73.5%

63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.6%

64.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.1%

43.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.3%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.45

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitar Kuzmanov Ryan Peniston

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.7%

27.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.6%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

38.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dimitar Kuzmanov and Ryan Peniston have never played each other.

Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston — Prediction