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Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Otto Virtanen — Prediction

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Bulgaria

44.09%

Otto Virtanen

Finland

55.91%

Average Odds

2.67  /  1.44

Market probability

35.04%  /  64.96%

Why This Prediction?

Otto Virtanen is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1776 vs 1637), the advantage of playing in his home country and fewer double faults per game (0.07 vs 0.09).

Player Comparison

1637.1 Elo 1776.0
1645.1 Elo (surface) 1516.2
221 Wins (Challenger) 121
151 Wins (surface) 13
10 Last 15 form 12
1 Head-to-head wins 1
1.217 Dominance ratio 0.999
395 Rank 125
33.0 Age 25.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–2L · 84.6%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Otto Virtanen

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–8L · 55.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitar Kuzmanov Otto Virtanen

1st Serve In %

70.4%
58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%
76.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%
52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%
26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%
46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.12
0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.9%
59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%
69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%
52.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%
25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.1%
44.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.20
0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitar Kuzmanov Otto Virtanen

Break Points Saved %

53.8%
70.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.7%
34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.1%
57.7%

Break Points Converted %

43.0%
30.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dimitar Kuzmanov 11 Otto Virtanen

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-23
0 Aces 9
1 Double Faults 2
51 Service Points 51
33 First Serve In 31
17 First Serve Won 22
7 Second Serve Won 12
3 Break Points Saved 1
8 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.4 Average Odds 2.7
Hard Lille CH · 2023-03-27
6-3 4-6 6-2
12 Aces 3
4 Double Faults 0
74 Service Points 88
49 First Serve In 65
36 First Serve Won 41
14 Second Serve Won 10
3 Break Points Saved 6
5 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Zug CH · 2022-07-25
6-1 6-7(2) 7-6(6)
5 Aces 13
3 Double Faults 1
108 Service Points 116
81 First Serve In 65
58 First Serve Won 51
18 Second Serve Won 25
2 Break Points Saved 7
3 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Dimitar Kuzmanov — Last 10

L W W L W W W L W W

Otto Virtanen — Last 10

L L W W L L W L W L