ATP tennis predict — Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Matyas Cerny

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Bulgaria

81.86%

Matyas Cerny

Czech Republic

18.14%

Average Odds

1.15 / 4.61

Market probability

80.03% / 19.97%

Why This Prediction?

Dimitar Kuzmanov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1659 vs 1441), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1621 vs 1479) and more wins on hard courts (17 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1659.0 Elo 1440.9

1620.5 Elo (surface) 1478.8

230 Wins (Challenger) 13

73 Wins (surface) 1

9 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.268 Dominance ratio 1.156

367 Rank 705

33.2 Age 25.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–7L · 12.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Matyas Cerny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitar Kuzmanov Matyas Cerny

1st Serve In %

70.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.12

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

73.5%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.6%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.1%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

35.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.3%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitar Kuzmanov Matyas Cerny

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

44.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.6%

44.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dimitar Kuzmanov and Matyas Cerny have never played each other.

Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Matyas Cerny — Prediction