ATP tennis predict — Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Marvin Moeller

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Bulgaria

40.21%

Marvin Moeller

Germany

59.79%

Average Odds

2.24 / 1.60

Market probability

41.67% / 58.33%

Why This Prediction?

Marvin Moeller is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1766 vs 1628) and a higher Elo rating (1753 vs 1622).

Player Comparison

1621.6 Elo 1753.2

1627.8 Elo (surface) 1765.8

222 Wins (Challenger) 71

151 Wins (surface) 46

10 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.254 Dominance ratio 0.965

387 Rank 327

33.1 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Marvin Moeller

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitar Kuzmanov Marvin Moeller

1st Serve In %

70.4%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

56.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

42.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

37.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.9%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%

73.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.1%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitar Kuzmanov Marvin Moeller

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

44.7%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.1%

58.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.0%

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dimitar Kuzmanov 0 – 0 Marvin Moeller

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-18

1. round

Dimitar Kuzmanov #387

Marvin Moeller #327

6-3 6-4

3 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 3

57 Service Points 61

34 First Serve In 36

28 First Serve Won 30

15 Second Serve Won 8

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Marvin Moeller — Prediction