ATP tennis predict — Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Harold Mayot

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · QF 10:00

Predicted probability

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Bulgaria

36.72%

Harold Mayot

France

63.28%

Average Odds

2.48 / 1.50

Market probability

37.69% / 62.31%

Why This Prediction?

Harold Mayot is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1730 vs 1632), a higher Elo rating (1733 vs 1669) and more wins on hard courts (87 vs 73).

Player Comparison

1669.0 Elo 1733.2

1631.8 Elo (surface) 1730.4

229 Wins (Challenger) 134

73 Wins (surface) 87

11 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.268 Dominance ratio 1.099

382 Rank 267

33.1 Age 24.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Harold Mayot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–7L · 56.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitar Kuzmanov Harold Mayot

1st Serve In %

70.4%

63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

40.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.9%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%

76.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

41.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.1%

68.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitar Kuzmanov Harold Mayot

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

64.1%

Break Points Converted %

44.7%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.1%

67.7%

Break Points Converted %

43.0%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dimitar Kuzmanov 0 – 0 Harold Mayot

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-11

QF

Harold Mayot #267

Dimitar Kuzmanov #382

6-4 6-2

2 Aces 5

0 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

28 First Serve Won 30

4 Second Serve Won 6

5 Break Points Saved 0

8 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Harold Mayot — Prediction