ATP tennis predict — Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Damir Dzumhur

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · R16 11:00

Predicted probability

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Bulgaria

43.30%

Damir Dzumhur

Bosnia and Herzeg.

56.70%

Average Odds

2.25 / 1.56

Market probability

40.94% / 59.06%

Why This Prediction?

Damir Dzumhur is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1771 vs 1677), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1698 vs 1653) and more wins on hard courts (153 vs 17).

Player Comparison

1677.1 Elo 1771.2

1652.6 Elo (surface) 1697.7

233 Wins (Challenger) 241

76 Wins (surface) 73

11 Last 15 form 6

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.268 Dominance ratio 0.951

367 Rank 103

33.2 Age 34.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 13W–2L · 86.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–7L · 12.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Damir Dzumhur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitar Kuzmanov Damir Dzumhur

1st Serve In %

70.4%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

50.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

41.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

76.5%

66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.6%

57.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.1%

55.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.3%

38.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

60.4%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitar Kuzmanov Damir Dzumhur

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

59.5%

Break Points Converted %

44.7%

50.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

58.1%

Break Points Converted %

46.2%

46.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dimitar Kuzmanov 1 – 1 Damir Dzumhur

Hard Australian Open · 2023-01-16

Q1

Damir Dzumhur #176

Dimitar Kuzmanov #182

6-3 6-1

2 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 0

49 Service Points 49

31 First Serve In 27

24 First Serve Won 12

11 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 1

2 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Barcelona CH · 2021-10-04

R16

Dimitar Kuzmanov #217

Damir Dzumhur #134

6-4 6-4

0 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 2

66 Service Points 52

42 First Serve In 31

28 First Serve Won 17

13 Second Serve Won 9

6 Break Points Saved 0

8 Break Points Faced 4