ATP tennis predict — Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Alexandr Binda

Challenger Hard Samsun challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Bulgaria

79.09%

Alexandr Binda

Italy

20.91%

Average Odds

1.18 / 4.43

Market probability

78.97% / 21.03%

Why This Prediction?

Dimitar Kuzmanov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1631 vs 1423), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1574 vs 1370) and a stronger serve (66.1% vs 60.2% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1630.6 Elo 1423.2

1573.6 Elo (surface) 1370.0

221 Wins (Challenger) 22

70 Wins (surface) 19

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.309 Dominance ratio 1.044

412 Rank 409

33.0 Age 24.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Dimitar Kuzmanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Alexandr Binda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitar Kuzmanov Alexandr Binda

1st Serve In %

70.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.12

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

69.9%

67.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%

77.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.3%

42.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.4%

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.1%

55.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Dimitar Kuzmanov Alexandr Binda

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

44.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

49.1%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.0%

40.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Dimitar Kuzmanov 0 – 0 Alexandr Binda

Hard Samsun challenger · 2026-07-27

1. round

Dimitar Kuzmanov #375

Alexandr Binda #479

7-5 6-4

3 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 5

61 Service Points 79

38 First Serve In 51

26 First Serve Won 27

14 Second Serve Won 12

6 Break Points Saved 9

9 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.4

Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Alexandr Binda — Prediction