ATP tennis predict — Diego Dedura Palomero vs Vadym Ursu

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Diego Dedura Palomero

Germany

81.33%

Vadym Ursu

Ukraine

18.67%

Average Odds

1.22 / 3.56

Market probability

74.48% / 25.52%

Why This Prediction?

Diego Dedura Palomero is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1761 vs 1426), fewer double faults per game (0.07 vs 0.38) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1468 vs 1439).

Player Comparison

1761.4 Elo 1425.9

1468.2 Elo (surface) 1438.6

48 Wins (Challenger) 45

4 Wins (surface) 38

10 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.018 Dominance ratio 0.880

186 Rank 401

18.6 Age 29.8

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Diego Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Vadym Ursu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Vadym Ursu

1st Serve In %

66.9%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

59.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.4%

37.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

42.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.70

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.5%

61.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.8%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.05

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Vadym Ursu

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

48.4%

Break Points Converted %

28.4%

16.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Diego Dedura Palomero and Vadym Ursu have never played each other.

Diego Dedura Palomero vs Vadym Ursu — Prediction