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Diego Dedura Palomero vs Oriol Roca Batalla — Prediction

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 1. round 14:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.48  /  2.45

Market probability

62.34%  /  37.66%

Why This Prediction?

Diego Dedura Palomero is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1802 vs 1672), a higher Elo rating (1786 vs 1679) and better recent form (11 wins in his last 15 matches vs 7).

Player Comparison

1786.5 Elo 1679.2
1801.7 Elo (surface) 1672.5
48 Wins (Challenger) 179
44 Wins (surface) 168
11 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.018 Dominance ratio 1.113
186 Rank 310
18.5 Age 33.4
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Diego Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Oriol Roca Batalla

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Oriol Roca Batalla

1st Serve In %

66.9%
64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%
67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.4%
46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%
27.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%
45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.25
0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.5%
64.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%
68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%
55.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.8%
35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%
54.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.05
0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10
0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Oriol Roca Batalla

Break Points Saved %

65.5%
50.8%

Break Points Converted %

28.4%
24.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%
65.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%
45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Diego Dedura Palomero 00 Oriol Roca Batalla

Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · 2026-09-21
0 Aces 1
3 Double Faults 2
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
20 First Serve Won 32
5 Second Serve Won 12
1 Break Points Saved 6
4 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.5 Average Odds 1.5

Diego Dedura Palomero — Last 10

L L W W L W W W L L

Oriol Roca Batalla — Last 10

L W L W W L W W L W