ATP tennis predict — Diego Dedura Palomero vs Oliver Tarvet

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:00

Predicted probability

Diego Dedura Palomero

Germany

36.57%

Oliver Tarvet

Great Britain

63.43%

Average Odds

3.44 / 1.28

Market probability

27.12% / 72.88%

Why This Prediction?

Oliver Tarvet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1748 vs 1506), a higher Elo rating (1854 vs 1766) and a stronger serve (66.9% vs 63.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1766.3 Elo 1853.9

1506.0 Elo (surface) 1747.9

49 Wins (Challenger) 16

5 Wins (surface) 14

10 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.018 Dominance ratio 1.105

186 Rank 302

18.6 Age 22.9

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Diego Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Oliver Tarvet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Oliver Tarvet

1st Serve In %

66.9%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

75.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.4%

54.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

54.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.7%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.9%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.6%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

40.6%

33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.5%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.05

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Oliver Tarvet

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

70.2%

Break Points Converted %

28.4%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.6%

63.5%

Break Points Converted %

47.1%

38.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Diego Dedura Palomero and Oliver Tarvet have never played each other.

Diego Dedura Palomero vs Oliver Tarvet — Prediction