ATP tennis predict — Diego Dedura Palomero vs Nicolas Kicker

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Diego Dedura Palomero

Germany

60.06%

Nicolas Kicker

Argentina

39.94%

Average Odds

1.22 / 4.05

Market probability

76.85% / 23.15%

Why This Prediction?

Diego Dedura Palomero is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1646 vs 1597), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1679 vs 1632) and a stronger serve (62.0% vs 55.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1646.3 Elo 1596.6

1679.0 Elo (surface) 1632.1

37 Wins (Challenger) 197

33 Wins (surface) 181

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.975 Dominance ratio 1.310

252 Rank 350

18.4 Age 33.9

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Diego Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Nicolas Kicker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Nicolas Kicker

1st Serve In %

66.9%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

60.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.4%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

42.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.5%

69.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

41.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.8%

40.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.05

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Nicolas Kicker

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

65.6%

Break Points Converted %

28.4%

32.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

59.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Diego Dedura Palomero 0 – 0 Nicolas Kicker

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Diego Dedura Palomero #252

Nicolas Kicker #350

6-4 6-4

0 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 0

64 Service Points 59

49 First Serve In 53

26 First Serve Won 32

8 Second Serve Won 5

3 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.0

Diego Dedura Palomero vs Nicolas Kicker — Prediction