ATP tennis predict — Diego Dedura Palomero vs Kilian Feldbausch

Challenger Clay Szczecin challenger · R16 17:00

Predicted probability

Diego Dedura Palomero

Germany

58.85%

Kilian Feldbausch

Switzerland

41.15%

Average Odds

2.29 / 1.56

Market probability

40.52% / 59.48%

Why This Prediction?

Diego Dedura Palomero is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1790 vs 1764), a stronger serve (63.6% vs 59.1% of service points won) and fewer double faults per game (0.05 vs 0.08).

Player Comparison

1790.1 Elo 1764.3

1806.8 Elo (surface) 1775.8

47 Wins (Challenger) 65

43 Wins (surface) 60

11 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.018 Dominance ratio 0.946

188 Rank 270

18.5 Age 21.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Diego Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Kilian Feldbausch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Kilian Feldbausch

1st Serve In %

66.9%

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

62.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.4%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.5%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%

58.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.8%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.05

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Kilian Feldbausch

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

28.4%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

57.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

46.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Diego Dedura Palomero 0 – 0 Kilian Feldbausch

Clay Szczecin challenger · 2026-09-16

R16

Diego Dedura Palomero #188

Kilian Feldbausch #270

7-6 4-6 7-6

1 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 6

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

51 First Serve Won 57

19 Second Serve Won 17

7 Break Points Saved 7

13 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Diego Dedura Palomero vs Kilian Feldbausch — Prediction