ATP tennis predict — Diego Dedura Palomero vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Diego Dedura Palomero

Germany

48.08%

Jack Pinnington Jones

Great Britain

51.92%

Average Odds

2.28 / 1.57

Market probability

40.78% / 59.22%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1751.9 Elo 1704.3

1489.9 Elo (surface) 1679.1

49 Wins (Challenger) 55

5 Wins (surface) 37

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.018 Dominance ratio 0.798

190 Rank 205

18.6 Age 23.5

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Diego Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Jack Pinnington Jones

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Jack Pinnington Jones

1st Serve In %

66.9%

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.4%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

54.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.6%

61.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.0%

66.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.9%

39.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.0%

31.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.07

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Jack Pinnington Jones

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

28.4%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.6%

39.7%

Break Points Converted %

48.1%

43.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Diego Dedura Palomero and Jack Pinnington Jones have never played each other.

Diego Dedura Palomero vs Jack Pinnington Jones — Prediction