ATP tennis predict — Diego Dedura Palomero vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Diego Dedura Palomero

Germany

52.33%

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Brazil

47.67%

Average Odds

1.40 / 2.79

Market probability

66.59% / 33.41%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1682.0 Elo 1758.3

1715.9 Elo (surface) 1787.3

39 Wins (Challenger) 44

35 Wins (surface) 35

11 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.000 Dominance ratio 1.026

252 Rank 318

18.4 Age 29.1

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Diego Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-29.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

1st Serve In %

66.9%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

73.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.4%

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

44.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.5%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.8%

34.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.05

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

75.8%

Break Points Converted %

28.4%

31.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

54.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Diego Dedura Palomero 0 – 0 Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-24

QF

Diego Dedura Palomero #252

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes #318

6-2 6-2

1 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 0

55 Service Points 57

35 First Serve In 43

21 First Serve Won 32

7 Second Serve Won 6

2 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Diego Dedura Palomero vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes — Prediction