ATP tennis predict — Diego Dedura Palomero vs Henry Bernet

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:30

Predicted probability

Diego Dedura Palomero

Germany

65.22%

Henry Bernet

Switzerland

34.78%

Average Odds

1.74 / 2.00

Market probability

53.48% / 46.52%

Why This Prediction?

Diego Dedura Palomero is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1734 vs 1620), a higher Elo rating (1692 vs 1597) and a stronger return game (40.7% vs 34.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1692.4 Elo 1597.4

1734.5 Elo (surface) 1620.5

44 Wins (Challenger) 13

40 Wins (surface) 12

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.987 Dominance ratio 0.906

190 Rank 428

18.5 Age 19.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Diego Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Henry Bernet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Henry Bernet

1st Serve In %

66.9%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.4%

53.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

23.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.68

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.5%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%

72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

51.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.8%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.05

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Henry Bernet

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

28.4%

32.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Diego Dedura Palomero 0 – 0 Henry Bernet

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Diego Dedura Palomero #190

Henry Bernet #428

4-6 6-3 6-4

1 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 3

101 Service Points 87

78 First Serve In 54

52 First Serve Won 38

16 Second Serve Won 20

5 Break Points Saved 13

6 Break Points Faced 15

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2

Diego Dedura Palomero vs Henry Bernet — Prediction