ATP tennis predict — Diego Dedura Palomero vs Gustavo Heide

Challenger Clay Tulln challenger · R16 11:30

Predicted probability

Diego Dedura Palomero

Germany

64.69%

Gustavo Heide

Brazil

35.31%

Average Odds

2.11 / 1.67

Market probability

44.18% / 55.82%

Why This Prediction?

Diego Dedura Palomero is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (40.6% vs 37.6% of return points won) and fewer double faults per game (0.07 vs 0.18).

Player Comparison

1788.1 Elo 1788.3

1804.5 Elo (surface) 1850.6

46 Wins (Challenger) 102

42 Wins (surface) 91

11 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.018 Dominance ratio 0.985

190 Rank 128

18.5 Age 24.5

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Diego Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Gustavo Heide

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-20.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Gustavo Heide

1st Serve In %

66.9%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

73.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.4%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.5%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%

65.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

53.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.8%

31.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%

46.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.05

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Gustavo Heide

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

63.3%

Break Points Converted %

28.4%

27.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

55.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

32.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Diego Dedura Palomero 0 – 0 Gustavo Heide

Clay Tulln challenger · 2026-09-10

R16

Gustavo Heide #128

Diego Dedura Palomero #190

6-1 7-5

1 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

18 First Serve Won 18

12 Second Serve Won 17

1 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Diego Dedura Palomero vs Gustavo Heide — Prediction