ATP tennis predict — Diego Dedura Palomero vs Guido Ivan Justo

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Diego Dedura Palomero

Germany

70.28%

Guido Ivan Justo

Argentina

29.72%

Average Odds

1.50 / 2.47

Market probability

62.22% / 37.78%

Why This Prediction?

Diego Dedura Palomero is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1664 vs 1624), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1698 vs 1639) and a stronger return game (38.9% vs 38.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1663.9 Elo 1623.8

1697.9 Elo (surface) 1639.5

38 Wins (Challenger) 83

34 Wins (surface) 83

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.999 Dominance ratio 1.050

252 Rank 224

18.4 Age 28.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Diego Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Guido Ivan Justo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Guido Ivan Justo

1st Serve In %

66.9%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

52.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.4%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

23.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.5%

66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%

62.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.8%

34.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.05

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Guido Ivan Justo

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

18.8%

Break Points Converted %

28.4%

36.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Diego Dedura Palomero 0 – 0 Guido Ivan Justo

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-23

R16

Diego Dedura Palomero #252

Guido Ivan Justo #224

6-4 6-2

0 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 1

52 Service Points 59

39 First Serve In 40

28 First Serve Won 19

7 Second Serve Won 11

0 Break Points Saved 4

1 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Diego Dedura Palomero vs Guido Ivan Justo — Prediction