ATP tennis predict — Diego Dedura Palomero vs Gauthier Onclin

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · SF

Predicted probability

Diego Dedura Palomero

Germany

67.80%

Gauthier Onclin

Belgium

32.20%

Average Odds

1.53 / 2.39

Market probability

60.97% / 39.03%

Why This Prediction?

Diego Dedura Palomero is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1742 vs 1600), a higher Elo rating (1707 vs 1664) and fewer double faults per game (0.05 vs 0.18).

Player Comparison

1706.8 Elo 1664.1

1741.8 Elo (surface) 1600.4

40 Wins (Challenger) 80

36 Wins (surface) 42

11 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.953 Dominance ratio 1.178

252 Rank 178

18.4 Age 25.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Diego Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Gauthier Onclin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Gauthier Onclin

1st Serve In %

66.9%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.4%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.5%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

55.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.8%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.05

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Gauthier Onclin

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

28.4%

47.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

53.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Diego Dedura Palomero 0 – 0 Gauthier Onclin

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-25

SF

Diego Dedura Palomero #252

Gauthier Onclin #178

6-2 2-6 7-6

0 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 4

85 Service Points 94

58 First Serve In 61

38 First Serve Won 37

12 Second Serve Won 14

5 Break Points Saved 4

10 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Diego Dedura Palomero vs Gauthier Onclin — Prediction