ATP tennis predict — Diego Dedura Palomero vs Frederico Ferreira Silva

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Diego Dedura Palomero

Germany

56.46%

Frederico Ferreira Silva

Portugal

43.54%

Average Odds

1.72 / 2.04

Market probability

54.26% / 45.74%

Why This Prediction?

Diego Dedura Palomero is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1716 vs 1555), a stronger return game (38.8% vs 33.8% of return points won) and better recent form (10 wins in his last 15 matches vs 7).

Player Comparison

1715.6 Elo 1555.0

1464.0 Elo (surface) 1643.5

5 Wins 23

0 Wins (surface) 9

5 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.922 Dominance ratio 0.996

194 Rank 231

18.4 Age 31.4

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Diego Dedura Palomero

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Frederico Ferreira Silva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Frederico Ferreira Silva

1st Serve In %

66.9%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.4%

53.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.8%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%

44.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.5%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.9%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.8%

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.0%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.05

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Diego Dedura Palomero Frederico Ferreira Silva

Break Points Saved %

65.5%

56.9%

Break Points Converted %

28.4%

47.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

35.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Diego Dedura Palomero 0 – 0 Frederico Ferreira Silva

Hard US Open · 2026-08-24

qualification - 1. round

Frederico Ferreira Silva #236

Diego Dedura Palomero #190

7-5 6-2

1 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 3

61 Service Points 61

41 First Serve In 37

26 First Serve Won 29

10 Second Serve Won 15

5 Break Points Saved 0

8 Break Points Faced 0

13 Winners 13

36 Unforced Errors 27

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Diego Dedura Palomero vs Frederico Ferreira Silva — Prediction