ATP tennis predict — Denis Yevseyev vs Tuncay Duran

Challenger Hard Samsun challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Denis Yevseyev

Kazakhstan

38.47%

Tuncay Duran

Turkey

61.53%

Average Odds

2.45 / 1.51

Market probability

38.13% / 61.87%

Why This Prediction?

Tuncay Duran is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1597 vs 1480), a higher Elo rating (1581 vs 1510) and a stronger serve (64.1% vs 55.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1509.9 Elo 1580.6

1480.3 Elo (surface) 1596.9

199 Wins (Challenger) 7

125 Wins (surface) 7

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.946 Dominance ratio 0.994

441 Rank 644

33.2 Age 22.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Denis Yevseyev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Tuncay Duran

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Denis Yevseyev Tuncay Duran

1st Serve In %

63.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.28

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

70.2%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.5%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

27.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Denis Yevseyev Tuncay Duran

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

45.9%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

35.5%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Denis Yevseyev 0 – 0 Tuncay Duran

Hard Samsun challenger · 2026-07-28

1. round

Denis Yevseyev #441

Tuncay Duran #644

6-7 6-1 6-3

2 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 8

89 Service Points 98

65 First Serve In 53

37 First Serve Won 32

12 Second Serve Won 14

1 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.5 Average Odds 1.5

Denis Yevseyev vs Tuncay Duran — Prediction