ATP tennis predict — Denis Yevseyev vs Saba Purtseladze

Challenger Hard Hamburg challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:00

Predicted probability

Denis Yevseyev

Kazakhstan

62.51%

Saba Purtseladze

Georgia

37.49%

Average Odds

1.59 / 2.22

Market probability

58.27% / 41.73%

Why This Prediction?

Denis Yevseyev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1505 vs 1347), a stronger return game (44.8% vs 38.2% of return points won) and fewer double faults per game (0.10 vs 0.30).

Player Comparison

1505.2 Elo 1347.1

1483.6 Elo (surface) 1519.4

201 Wins (Challenger) 27

127 Wins (surface) 24

6 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.091 Dominance ratio 0.875

439 Rank 659

33.2 Age 25.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Denis Yevseyev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Saba Purtseladze

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Denis Yevseyev Saba Purtseladze

1st Serve In %

63.3%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.2%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.1%

22.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

70.2%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.5%

43.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

56.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.46

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Denis Yevseyev Saba Purtseladze

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.9%

24.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

35.5%

44.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Denis Yevseyev 0 – 0 Saba Purtseladze

Hard Hamburg challenger · 2026-08-10

qualification - round of 16

Denis Yevseyev #439

Saba Purtseladze #659

7-5 7-5

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Denis Yevseyev vs Saba Purtseladze — Prediction