ATP tennis predict — Denis Yevseyev vs Mirza Basic

Challenger Clay Augsburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 12:00

Predicted probability

Denis Yevseyev

Kazakhstan

50.42%

Mirza Basic

Bosnia and Herzeg.

49.58%

Average Odds

1.66 / 2.12

Market probability

56.08% / 43.92%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1503.3 Elo 1544.3

1449.7 Elo (surface) 1468.5

202 Wins (Challenger) 216

72 Wins (surface) 53

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.164 Dominance ratio 0.978

444 Rank 699

33.2 Age 35.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Denis Yevseyev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Mirza Basic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Denis Yevseyev Mirza Basic

1st Serve In %

63.3%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%

76.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.2%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.1%

24.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

70.2%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.4%

66.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.5%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

53.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Denis Yevseyev Mirza Basic

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

45.9%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

52.8%

Break Points Converted %

35.5%

41.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Denis Yevseyev 0 – 1 Mirza Basic

Clay Augsburg challenger · 2026-08-23

qualification - 1. round

Denis Yevseyev #444

Mirza Basic #699

6-2 6-3

6 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 2

41 Service Points 68

30 First Serve In 39

25 First Serve Won 25

7 Second Serve Won 12

0 Break Points Saved 5

0 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Hard Nur-Sultan 3 CH · 2021-07-12

R32

Mirza Basic #273

Denis Yevseyev #375

6-3 6-3

1 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 2

50 Service Points 70

33 First Serve In 49

27 First Serve Won 30

11 Second Serve Won 8

3 Break Points Saved 7

3 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Denis Yevseyev vs Mirza Basic — Prediction